Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.874916 4.498834 5.158747 5.905570 6.724106 7.590903 8.575113
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.862684 3.704045 4.657557 5.804753 7.134132 8.613365 10.370780
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.198496 3.157460 4.316468 5.788267 7.575557 9.645256 12.192117
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.694631 2.701376 3.996323 5.724552 7.911743 10.531993 13.851242
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.438670 2.511538 3.966149 5.987066 8.628388 11.875071 16.076996
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.167356 2.246612 3.792412 6.028111 9.042790 12.839516 17.851889
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.028782 2.149615 3.828849 6.335917 9.798565 14.239858 20.189915
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.898505 2.039949 3.827486 6.578230 10.463124 15.529855 22.408247
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.760018 1.889215 3.742731 6.685115 10.934806 16.569392 24.317979
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.612776 1.691835 3.559161 6.625188 11.159742 17.275979 25.799070
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.524343 1.586812 3.509623 6.755239 11.647452 18.335861 27.752935
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.448694 1.490765 3.461972 6.878640 12.121473 19.379587 29.696028
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.347215 1.315440 3.260274 6.750396 12.229968 19.936791 31.021395
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.260485 1.146525 3.046896 6.583773 12.268272 20.391494 32.213120
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.202259 1.029490 2.914599 6.538469 12.482198 21.091922 33.746437
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.152321 0.914491 2.768937 6.455855 12.629003 21.693395 35.147794
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.135802 0.899407 2.828005 6.734286 13.348318 23.131141 37.728098
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.107245 0.829239 2.758790 6.775503 13.687803 24.019411 39.550746
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.098282 0.829988 2.846932 7.107373 14.501980 25.614999 42.385817
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.086758 0.815105 2.896889 7.368788 15.206174 27.057550 45.020725
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.070602 0.770492 2.871007 7.483969 15.671218 28.150498 47.171320
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.051144 0.693824 2.755852 7.418959 15.832463 28.788923 48.678967
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.041430 0.661638 2.747367 7.559475 16.338380 29.950286 50.945801